Achieving Copenhagen target through carbon emission trading: Economic impacts assessment in Guangdong Province of China

doi:10.1016/j.energy.2014.11.009

GIEC OpenIR > 中国科学院广州能源研究所

	Achieving Copenhagen target through carbon emission trading: Economic impacts assessment in Guangdong Province of China
	Wang, Peng 1; Dai, Han-cheng 2; Ren, Song-yan 1; Zhao, Dai-qing 1; Masui, Toshihiko 2
	2015
发表期刊	ENERGY
卷号	79 页码:212-227
摘要	This study analyzed the economic impacts of carbon ETS (emission trading scheme) policy among four energy intensive sectors in Guangdong province with a two-region dynamic CGE model. Five cases are considered to achieve Copenhagen target towards 2020 in Guangdong, including a reference case, two cases under different carbon emission constraints without carbon ETS, and two cases with ETS. The simulation results show that carbon price and economic impacts are closely related to both emission constraints and ETS. In the scenario that overshoots Copenhagen target and does not consider ETS, carbon mitigation cost of refinery and iron & steel sectors would be relatively higher whereas that of power and cement sectors would be lower, and the GDP (gross domestic production) loss would be 1.4%. On the contrary, with ETS implemented, the trading carbon price would be 38 USD (US Dollar)/ton-CO2, creating a carbon market of around 1 billion USD. Furthermore, ETS could significantly reduce the mitigation cost for the whole economy. The GDP of Guangdong province would recover by 2.6 billion USD. In addition, the economic output and employment of sectors with would be affected compared to the scenario without ETS. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
文章类型	Article
关键词	Carbon Emission Trading General Equilibrium Model Carbon Trading Price
WOS标题词	Science & Technology ; Physical Sciences ; Technology
DOI	10.1016/j.energy.2014.11.009
研究领域[WOS]	Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
关键词[WOS]	CGE ANALYSIS ; BOTTOM-UP ; ENERGY ; DEMAND ; COST
收录类别	SCI ; SSCI
语种	英语
WOS类目	Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS记录号	WOS:000348959000020
引用统计	被引频次：195[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.giec.ac.cn/handle/344007/10791
专题	中国科学院广州能源研究所
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Guangzhou Inst Energy Convers, Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong, Peoples R China 2.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Social & Environm Syst Div, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Peng,Dai, Han-cheng,Ren, Song-yan,et al. Achieving Copenhagen target through carbon emission trading: Economic impacts assessment in Guangdong Province of China[J]. ENERGY,2015,79:212-227.
APA	Wang, Peng,Dai, Han-cheng,Ren, Song-yan,Zhao, Dai-qing,&Masui, Toshihiko.(2015).Achieving Copenhagen target through carbon emission trading: Economic impacts assessment in Guangdong Province of China.ENERGY,79,212-227.
MLA	Wang, Peng,et al."Achieving Copenhagen target through carbon emission trading: Economic impacts assessment in Guangdong Province of China".ENERGY 79(2015):212-227.