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Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou, China
Huang, Ying1; Liao, Cuiping1; Zhang, Jingjing2; Guo, Hongxu3; Zhou, Nan2; Zhao, Daiqing1
2019-10-01
Source PublicationAPPLIED ENERGY
ISSN0306-2619
Volume251Pages:14
Corresponding AuthorGuo, Hongxu(guohx@gdut.edu.cn)
AbstractCities are key to global greenhouse gas emissions management. To explore urban greenhouse gas peak pathways, a city-level Energy Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emission Analysis model was developed by using Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning model framework. Using the city of Guangzhou as a case study, this research compiled a overall energy balance sheet of base year and simulated future CO2 emission trends from 2015 to 2030 under three scenarios. Results show that CO2 emissions in Guangzhou will peak around 2023 under the current policy scenario. In order to advance the CO2 emissions peak to 2020, the more stringent emissions-reduction policies and measures need to be adopted under the peaking scenario and enhanced peaking scenario, with the peak emission value of 125-127 Mt CO(2)e. The industrial sector is the only sector in which CO2 emissions have peaked in Guangzhou, the building sector's CO2 emissions will not peak by 2030 under any of the three scenarios, while the transportation sector, which will contribute 50 percent of emission reduction potential, is the key to achieve its goal of peaking CO2 emissions on time. In the short term, stringent reduction strategies on the transportation, industrial, and power sectors are needed, including transport mode adjustment, industrial structure adjustment, electrification level improvement, clean-up transformation of thermal power, and energy efficiency improvement. However, in the long term, reduction strategies for the building sector, like energy efficiency improvement and large-scale application of renewable energy, will be essential for Guangzhou.
KeywordUrban GHG emissions CO2 peak Scenario analysis ECGEA model Guangzhou
DOI10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113369
WOS KeywordCARBON-DIOXIDE EMISSIONS ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; TECHNOLOGY OPTIONS ; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION ; SCENARIO ANALYSIS ; XIAMEN CITY ; MODEL ; POLICIES ; ROADMAP ; SECTOR
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectEnergy Foundation China[G-1606-24872] ; Oak Foundation ; Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)[41501184] ; Development and Reform Commission of Guangzhou
WOS Research AreaEnergy & Fuels ; Engineering
Funding OrganizationEnergy Foundation China ; Oak Foundation ; Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) ; Development and Reform Commission of Guangzhou
WOS SubjectEnergy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS IDWOS:000497966300080
PublisherELSEVIER SCI LTD
Citation statistics
Cited Times:28[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.giec.ac.cn/handle/344007/25899
Collection中国科学院广州能源研究所
Corresponding AuthorGuo, Hongxu
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Guangzhou Inst Energy Convers, Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong, Peoples R China
2.Lawrence Berkeley Natl Lab, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
3.Guangdong Univ Technol, Sch Architecture & Urban Planning, Guangzhou 510090, Guangdong, Peoples R China
First Author AffilicationGuangZhou Institute of Energy Conversion,Chinese Academy of Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Huang, Ying,Liao, Cuiping,Zhang, Jingjing,et al. Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou, China[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2019,251:14.
APA Huang, Ying,Liao, Cuiping,Zhang, Jingjing,Guo, Hongxu,Zhou, Nan,&Zhao, Daiqing.(2019).Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou, China.APPLIED ENERGY,251,14.
MLA Huang, Ying,et al."Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou, China".APPLIED ENERGY 251(2019):14.
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