Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou, China

doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113369

GIEC OpenIR

	Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou, China
	Huang, Ying1 ; Liao, Cuiping1 ; Zhang, Jingjing 2; Guo, Hongxu 3; Zhou, Nan 2; Zhao, Daiqing1
	2019-10-01
发表期刊	APPLIED ENERGY
ISSN	0306-2619
卷号	251 页码:14
通讯作者	Guo, Hongxu(guohx@gdut.edu.cn)
摘要	Cities are key to global greenhouse gas emissions management. To explore urban greenhouse gas peak pathways, a city-level Energy Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emission Analysis model was developed by using Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning model framework. Using the city of Guangzhou as a case study, this research compiled a overall energy balance sheet of base year and simulated future CO2 emission trends from 2015 to 2030 under three scenarios. Results show that CO2 emissions in Guangzhou will peak around 2023 under the current policy scenario. In order to advance the CO2 emissions peak to 2020, the more stringent emissions-reduction policies and measures need to be adopted under the peaking scenario and enhanced peaking scenario, with the peak emission value of 125-127 Mt CO(2)e. The industrial sector is the only sector in which CO2 emissions have peaked in Guangzhou, the building sector's CO2 emissions will not peak by 2030 under any of the three scenarios, while the transportation sector, which will contribute 50 percent of emission reduction potential, is the key to achieve its goal of peaking CO2 emissions on time. In the short term, stringent reduction strategies on the transportation, industrial, and power sectors are needed, including transport mode adjustment, industrial structure adjustment, electrification level improvement, clean-up transformation of thermal power, and energy efficiency improvement. However, in the long term, reduction strategies for the building sector, like energy efficiency improvement and large-scale application of renewable energy, will be essential for Guangzhou.
关键词	Urban GHG emissions CO2 peak Scenario analysis ECGEA model Guangzhou
DOI	10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113369
关键词[WOS]	CARBON-DIOXIDE EMISSIONS ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; TECHNOLOGY OPTIONS ; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION ; SCENARIO ANALYSIS ; XIAMEN CITY ; MODEL ; POLICIES ; ROADMAP ; SECTOR
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
资助项目	Energy Foundation China[G-1606-24872] ; Oak Foundation ; Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)[41501184] ; Development and Reform Commission of Guangzhou
WOS研究方向	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
项目资助者	Energy Foundation China ; Oak Foundation ; Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) ; Development and Reform Commission of Guangzhou
WOS类目	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS记录号	WOS:000497966300080
出版者	ELSEVIER SCI LTD
引用统计	被引频次：27[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.giec.ac.cn/handle/344007/25899
专题	中国科学院广州能源研究所
通讯作者	Guo, Hongxu
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Guangzhou Inst Energy Convers, Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong, Peoples R China 2.Lawrence Berkeley Natl Lab, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA 3.Guangdong Univ Technol, Sch Architecture & Urban Planning, Guangzhou 510090, Guangdong, Peoples R China
第一作者单位	中国科学院广州能源研究所
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Huang, Ying,Liao, Cuiping,Zhang, Jingjing,et al. Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou, China[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2019,251:14.
APA	Huang, Ying,Liao, Cuiping,Zhang, Jingjing,Guo, Hongxu,Zhou, Nan,&Zhao, Daiqing.(2019).Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou, China.APPLIED ENERGY,251,14.
MLA	Huang, Ying,et al."Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou, China".APPLIED ENERGY 251(2019):14.